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    徐晓. 基于标准化降水指数的北京市气象干旱特性分析[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(1): 58-64. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023507
    引用本文: 徐晓. 基于标准化降水指数的北京市气象干旱特性分析[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(1): 58-64. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023507
    XU Xiao. Analysis of meteorological drought characteristics in Beijing based on Standardized Precipitation Index[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2025, 35(1): 58-64. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023507
    Citation: XU Xiao. Analysis of meteorological drought characteristics in Beijing based on Standardized Precipitation Index[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2025, 35(1): 58-64. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023507

    基于标准化降水指数的北京市气象干旱特性分析

    Analysis of meteorological drought characteristics in Beijing based on Standardized Precipitation Index

    • 摘要: 基于北京市20个雨量代表站1956—2016年的逐月降水量资料,计算各站点不同时间尺度的标准化降水指数(SPI),分析北京市不同时间尺度的气象干旱等级逐年变化趋势,总结归纳气象干旱发生频次及干旱严重年份SPI的空间分布特征。结果表明,1个月、3个月的SPI逐年变化趋势及干旱频次空间分布规律较为一致,SPI随时间波动性强,无明显的波动周期,干旱频次均呈现由西北向东南递减的趋势。12个月的SPI波动性减弱,干旱频次自东南和西北向中部递减。1999年和2002年干旱事件中3种时间尺度SPI的空间分布较为一致,其中,1999年大旱均呈现自东南向西北递减的趋势,2002年大旱均呈现自东北向西南递减的趋势。

       

      Abstract: Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) of all the selected stations at different time scales were calculated to analyze the annual trend of meteorological drought grade at different time scales, summarize the spatial distribution characteristics of meteorological drought frequency and SPI values of severe drought years, using monthly precipitation data of 20 rainfall representative stations in Beijing from 1956 to 2016. The results show that the yearly variation trend of 1-month and 3-month SPI values is consistent with the spatial distribution trend of drought frequency, meanwhile, the SPI values have the drastic fluctuation over time without obvious fluctuation cycle. The drought frequency decreases from northwest to southeast. The 12-month SPI values have a weaker fluctuation, and the drought frequency decreases from southeast and northwest to the central. The spatial distribution of SPI values in the above three time scales in 1999 and 2002 was consistent, among which the drought in 1999 showed a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest, and the drought in 2002 showed a decreasing trend from northeast to southwest.

       

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